EARLY WARNING AND PREDICTION OF SCARLET FEVER IN CHINA USING THE BAIDU SEARCH INDEX AND AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE WITH EXPLANATORY VARIABLE (ARIMAX) MODEL: TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

BackgroundInternet-derived data and the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and ARIMA with explanatory variable (ARIMAX) models are extensively used for infectious disease surveillance.However, the effectiveness of the Baidu search index (BSI) in predicting the incidence of scarlet fever remains uncertain.ObjectiveOur objective was to

In the title chalcone derivative, C18H18O5, the dihedral angle between the Accessoires SnapMaker hydroxy-substituted benzene ring and the trimethoxy-substituted benzene ring is 16.3 (1)°.The three methoxy groups are essentially coplanar with the benzene ring to which they are attached, with an r.m.s.deviation of 0.0208 

Licensure of a vaccine to protect against aerosolized Venezuelan equine encephalitis virus (VEEV) requires use of the U.S.Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Animal Rule to assess vaccine Coats efficacy as human studies are not feasible or ethical.An approach to selecting VEEV challenge strains for use under the Animal Rule was developed, taking int